Abstract

The development of DP-QPSK with coherent detection to support 100G DWDM line side transmission rates will prove to be a transformational technology in carrier networks. 100G will become the building block transmission rate for future networks, and as the first optical transmission technology based on digital signal processing, will enable future intelligent and flexible optical networks. While 10G will remain the largest market in both units and dollar value over the forecast period, Lightcounting expects 100G DWDM line cards will grow into a $2.3 Billion dollar market by 2015. At the same time a new market for 40GE and 100GE client-side optical transceiver modules is developing and Lightcounting forecasts the market for those devices will grow to $380 million by 2015.

This report examines the development of 100G DWDM line-side technology and standards for 100G on both the line side (DWDM) and client side (Ethernet). It looks at trials and initial deployments of 100G technology as well as what is available from system, module and communications IC suppliers. It addresses the market opportunity for 40 and 100GE in the datacenter. It also takes a look at some of the activity to develop 100G direct detection alternatives to DP-QPSK. It presents Lightcounting forecast for both client-side and line-side 40 and 100G technology as well as an evaluation of current market pricing. Finally, it presents some of the ongoing research in developing optical transmission technology beyond 100G.

Table of Contents

• Abstract
• Summary
• Contents
  
• Did Anyone Make Money on 40G Technology?
  • Not Component Vendors
  • Not Venture Capitalists
  • Not System Vendors
  • Not Carriers
• The Development of 100G Optical Transport Technology
  • Higher Line Rates Achieved with Advanced Modulation Techniques
  • 100G Technology Changes the Optical Transceiver Food Chain
  • No Requirement for Line-Side Mid-Span Meet
  • 100G Coherent Technology Opens the Door to a New Intelligent Network
• 100G Standards and Vendor Forums
  • Line Side Standards for 100G
  • OIF Implementation Agreement for 100G Long Distance DWDM
  • ITU-T SG15 100G Standards
  • Compact Coherent Receiver (CCRx) MSA (ccrx-msa.org)
  • Client Side Standards for 100G
  • The IEEE 802.3bg Standard
  • The Multiple Fiber Push On Connector
  • IEEE 802.3bg
  • The CFP Multi Source Agreement (MSA)
  • The CXP Multi Source Agreement (MSA)
  • The Quad Small Form-factor Pluggable (QSFP+) Multi Source Agreement
  • 10x10 Multi Source Agreement
• 100G Carrier Trials and Deployments
  • AT&T
  • Comcast
  • CenturyLink (Qwest)
  • NTT
  • Deutsche Telekom
  • Verizon
  • Global Crossing
  • SEA-ME-WE4
  • NYSE Euronext
  • Google
  • Telefonica
  • BT
  • Portugal Telecom
  • China Telecom
  • China Mobile
  • China Unicom
  • Kazakhtelecom
  • Internet 2 Consortium
  • Renater
  • XO Communications
  • Mobily
• 40/100G in the Datacenter
• 40G/100G Forecast
• Price will Determine 100G Deployment Success
  • Client Side 40/100G Pricing
  • Transceiver Pricing 40/100G DWDM
  • 40/100G Line Card Pricing
• Alternative 100G Technologies
• Transceiver Vendors
  • Finisar
  • Oclaro
  • JDSU
  • Opnext
  • Fujitsu Optical Components
  • Sumitomo Electric/Excelight
  • Reflex Photonics
  • Innolight Technology Corporation
• Communications IC Vendors
  • Cortina Systems
  • MultiPhy
  • ClariPhy
  • Acacia Communications
  • Semtech/Sierra Monolithics
  • PMC-Sierra
  • Applied Micro Circuits Corporation
  • NTT Electronics
• System Vendors
  • Fujitsu
  • NSN
  • Ciena
  • NEC
  • Tellabs
  • Ofidium
  • Alcatel Lucent
  • Optelian
  • Xtera
  • Huawei
  • Ericsson
  • ADVA
  • Cisco
  • Juniper
  • ZTE
  • Force 10
  • Infinera
  • Brocade
  • Vello Systems/Opvista
  • Hitachi Communications Technologies America
• Beyond 100G - What's Next?
  • Getting to 1T Will Likely Require Network Architectural Changes
  • Engineering Tradeoffs in Going Faster Than 100G
  • Chalcogenides Offer Potential for High-Speed Optical Processing
  • Coherent Optical Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiplexing (CO-OFDM) Could be Key to Getting to 1T and Beyond
  • Component and Equipment Vendors Already Planning for Tbps Optics